Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 22:30 • Estadio Arsenio Erico
Second Half
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.26) 0.75 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.5% 16.1% 9.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 0
10.2%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sportivo Ameliano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacional Asuncion 0 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 7.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack33%58%
Defense67%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nacional Asuncion Sportivo Ameliano
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%30%40%20%30%25%
Draws40%30%35%20%10%15%
Loses10%40%25%60%60%60%

Form: Nacional Asuncion: DWWWLDDWDLWWLWDDLLDW • Sportivo Ameliano: WLLDLLLLDWLWLLLDWLWL

League goals

Metric Nacional Asuncion Sportivo Ameliano
HATHAT
GF total16824101222
GF avg1.60.81.21.01.21.1
GA total71017191938
GA avg0.71.00.91.91.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%60%75%85%
1.525%20%25%50%
2.515%5%10%35%
3.55%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
HATHAT
Clean sheets448213
Failed to score145325

Penalties

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
Wins31
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-02-3
Biggest losses1-23-00-44-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
Form42%58%
Att36%64%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%88%
Total40.5%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sportivo Ameliano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.82 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nacional Asuncion = 2.42 (league 1.26), Sportivo Ameliano = 0.75 (league 1.12)

Sportivo Ameliano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacional Asuncion 0 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 7.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.5% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 9.7%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1