Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.49) 0.24 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 36.1% 8.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.0%
0 - 0
28.8%
2 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cadiz 0 28.8% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 6.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCadizBurgos
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack20%47%
Defense93%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cadiz Burgos
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins80%25%56%40%25%33%
Draws20%50%33%40%25%33%
Loses0%25%11%20%50%33%

Form: Cadiz: WDWDWWDLW • Burgos: WDLDWDWLL

League goals

Metric Cadiz Burgos
HATHAT
GF total55108513
GF avg1.01.31.11.61.31.4
GA total1564610
GA avg0.21.30.70.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCadizBurgos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%44%67%78%
1.522%11%33%33%
2.511%11%22%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCadizBurgos
HATHAT
Clean sheets415112
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricCadizBurgos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricCadizBurgos
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-15-12-3
Biggest losses1-00-12-1
Goals For2353
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricCadizBurgos
Form59%41%
Att30%70%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.0%40.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cadiz or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.94 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Unibet
No1.70 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cadiz = 1.01 (league 1.49), Burgos = 0.24 (league 1.10)

Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cadiz 0 28.8% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.0% 6.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.6% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1