Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Fernando Torres
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.48) 0.05 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.1% 26.3% 1.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
33.3%
0 - 0
24.6%
2 - 0
22.5%
Score & goals probability table
Eibar W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Madrid CFF W 0 24.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMadrid CFF WEibar W
Played11
Form33%0%
Attack12%0%
Defense88%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 20 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Madrid CFF W Eibar W
HATHAT
Played101101
Wins0%0%0%0%
Draws100%100%0%0%
Loses0%0%100%100%

Form: Madrid CFF W: D • Eibar W: L

League goals

Metric Madrid CFF W Eibar W
HATHAT
GF total202000
GF avg2.00.02.00.00.00.0
GA total202101
GA avg2.00.02.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMadrid CFF WEibar W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%0%100%
1.5100%100%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMadrid CFF WEibar W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricMadrid CFF WEibar W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMadrid CFF WEibar W
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For2000
Goals Against2010

Model comparison

MetricMadrid CFF WEibar W
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%37%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Winner : Madrid CFF W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Betway
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away5.40 @ Fonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bwin
No1.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Madrid CFF W = 1.35 (league 1.48), Eibar W = 0.05 (league 1.38)

Eibar W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Madrid CFF W 0 24.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.3% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1