Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio Fernando Torres
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.50) 3.72 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.0% 4.4% 77.3%
best score tips
0 - 3
15.4%
0 - 4
14.3%
0 - 2
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Madrid CFF W 0 1.8% 6.7% 12.4% 15.4% 14.3% 10.6%
1 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.3% 3.2%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMadrid CFF WAtletico Madrid W
Played33
Form44%100%
Attack31%85%
Defense69%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.311 | 3.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.31 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Madrid CFF W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins50%0%33%100%100%100%
Draws50%0%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%33%0%0%0%

Form: Madrid CFF W: DWL • Atletico Madrid W: WWW

League goals

Metric Madrid CFF W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total3146511
GF avg1.51.01.33.05.03.7
GA total224101
GA avg1.02.01.30.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMadrid CFF WAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%33%
1.533%67%100%0%
2.50%0%67%0%
3.50%0%67%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMadrid CFF WAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMadrid CFF WAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMadrid CFF WAtletico Madrid W
Wins13
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-00-5
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For2145
Goals Against2210

Model comparison

MetricMadrid CFF WAtletico Madrid W
Form31%69%
Att27%73%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total23.0%77.0%

Advice: Winner : Atletico Madrid W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.08 @ Pinnacle
Away1.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Madrid CFF W = 0.30 (league 1.50), Atletico Madrid W = 3.72 (league 1.34)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Madrid CFF W 0 1.8% 6.7% 12.4% 15.4% 14.3% 10.6%
1 0.5% 2.0% 3.7% 4.6% 4.3% 3.2%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.0% · Draw 4.4% · Away win 77.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1