Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Jesus Navas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.48) 1.31 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 28.6% 63.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
27.0%
0 - 0
20.6%
0 - 2
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Espanyol W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla W 0 20.6% 27.0% 17.6% 7.7% 2.5% 0.7%
1 5.6% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevilla WEspanyol W
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack20%20%
Defense0%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevilla W Espanyol W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%20%67%50%60%
Loses100%33%60%33%50%40%

Form: Sevilla W: WLLLD • Espanyol W: LDDDL

League goals

Metric Sevilla W Espanyol W
HATHAT
GF total022202
GF avg0.00.70.40.70.00.4
GA total9413729
GA avg4.51.32.62.31.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevilla WEspanyol W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%40%80%
1.50%60%0%40%
2.50%60%0%20%
3.50%40%0%20%
4.50%20%0%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevilla WEspanyol W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricSevilla WEspanyol W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSevilla WEspanyol W
Wins10
Draws03
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1——
Biggest losses0-53-00-52-0
Goals For0110
Goals Against5352

Model comparison

MetricSevilla WEspanyol W
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals88%13%
Total65.8%34.4%

Advice: Double chance : Sevilla W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Unibet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sevilla W = 0.27 (league 1.48), Espanyol W = 1.31 (league 1.38)

Espanyol W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla W 0 20.6% 27.0% 17.6% 7.7% 2.5% 0.7%
1 5.6% 7.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 63.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1