Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:00 • Lezama Facilities
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.48) 2.18 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.1% 17.5% 71.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 1
13.3%
0 - 3
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club W 0 6.1% 13.3% 14.5% 10.6% 5.8% 2.5%
1 3.8% 8.2% 8.9% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic Club WReal Madrid W
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack27%67%
Defense20%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%100%0%50%
Draws67%67%67%0%67%33%
Loses33%33%33%0%33%17%

Form: Athletic Club W: DLLDDD • Real Madrid W: DLWWDW

League goals

Metric Athletic Club W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total2249312
GF avg0.70.70.73.01.02.0
GA total9312145
GA avg3.01.02.00.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic Club WReal Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%83%50%
1.50%17%67%33%
2.50%17%33%0%
3.50%17%17%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic Club WReal Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricAthletic Club WReal Madrid W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAthletic Club WReal Madrid W
Wins02
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0
Biggest losses1-81-02-1
Goals For1142
Goals Against8112

Model comparison

MetricAthletic Club WReal Madrid W
Form23%77%
Att29%71%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total23.4%76.6%

Advice: Winner : Real Madrid W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.85 @ Pinnacle
Away1.38 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club W = 0.62 (league 1.48), Real Madrid W = 2.18 (league 1.38)

Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club W 0 6.1% 13.3% 14.5% 10.6% 5.8% 2.5%
1 3.8% 8.2% 8.9% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.2% 2.5% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.1% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 71.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1