Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Pinatar Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.48) 1.02 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 31.7% 37.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alhama 0 15.0% 15.3% 7.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlhamaAthletic Club W
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack47%24%
Defense35%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alhama Athletic Club W
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%0%0%0%
Draws33%25%29%50%67%57%
Loses33%50%43%50%33%43%

Form: Alhama: LDDLWWL • Athletic Club W: DLLDDDL

League goals

Metric Alhama Athletic Club W
HATHAT
GF total448325
GF avg1.31.01.10.80.70.7
GA total6131913316
GA avg2.03.32.73.31.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlhamaAthletic Club W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%86%71%86%
1.529%57%0%29%
2.529%43%0%29%
3.514%29%0%29%
4.50%14%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlhamaAthletic Club W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricAlhamaAthletic Club W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAlhamaAthletic Club W
Wins20
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-4
Biggest losses0-48-01-81-0
Goals For3411
Goals Against4881

Model comparison

MetricAlhamaAthletic Club W
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Alhama or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.91 @ 1xBet
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away1.85 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alhama = 0.88 (league 1.48), Athletic Club W = 1.02 (league 1.38)

Athletic Club W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alhama 0 15.0% 15.3% 7.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 37.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1