Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:00 •
Estadio Jesus Navas
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.48)
2.18 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4% | 14.4% | 79.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
20.6%
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 3
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Madrid CFF W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevilla W | 0 | 8.7% | 18.9% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sevilla W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 0% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sevilla W | Madrid CFF W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 67% | 25% | 43% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
Form: Sevilla W: WLLLDWW • Madrid CFF W: DWLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Sevilla W | Madrid CFF W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sevilla W | Madrid CFF W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 57% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 43% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 43% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sevilla W | Madrid CFF W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sevilla W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sevilla W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sevilla W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 15% | 85% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 39% | 61% |
| Total | 35.2% | 64.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Madrid CFF W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sevilla W = 0.26 (league 1.48), Madrid CFF W = 2.18 (league 1.38)
| Madrid CFF W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevilla W | 0 | 8.7% | 18.9% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 79.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1