Sat, Nov 1 2025 ā¢ 11:00 ā¢
Centro Deportivo Wanda AlcalĆ” de Henares
Expected Goals
4.02 (league 1.48)
1.45 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.6%
3 - 1
6.6%
5 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Alhama | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Alhama |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 41% | 41% |
| Defense | 47% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Alhama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Atletico Madrid W: WWWDWDLD ā¢ Alhama: LDDLWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Alhama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Madrid W | Alhama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 38% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 13% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 13% | 25% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 13% | 13% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Alhama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Alhama |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Alhama |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | ā | 0-4 | 8-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Alhama |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 61.2% | 38.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Madrid W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Atletico Madrid W = 4.02 (league 1.48), Alhama = 1.45 (league 1.38)
| Alhama | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid W | 0 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% Ā· Draw 9.8% Ā· Away win 8.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1