Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:30 • Ciutat Esportiva Dani Jarque
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.51) 2.40 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 18.1% 62.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Espanyol W 0 2.9% 7.1% 8.5% 6.8% 4.1% 2.0%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.9% 4.4% 5.3% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEspanyol WReal Madrid W
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack35%88%
Defense76%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Espanyol W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%100%25%63%
Draws50%25%38%0%50%25%
Loses25%50%38%0%25%13%

Form: Espanyol W: LDDDLLWW • Real Madrid W: DLWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Espanyol W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total52713720
GF avg1.30.50.93.31.82.5
GA total7310156
GA avg1.80.81.30.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEspanyol WReal Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%88%50%
1.525%25%75%25%
2.513%13%50%0%
3.50%13%38%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEspanyol WReal Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricEspanyol WReal Madrid W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricEspanyol WReal Madrid W
Wins02
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-01-4
Biggest losses0-52-0—2-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against5212

Model comparison

MetricEspanyol WReal Madrid W
Form35%65%
Att29%71%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%100%
Goals8%92%
Total25.8%74.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home17.00 @ William Hill
Draw7.59 @ Pinnacle
Away1.15 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Espanyol W = 1.12 (league 1.51), Real Madrid W = 2.40 (league 1.35)

Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Espanyol W 0 2.9% 7.1% 8.5% 6.8% 4.1% 2.0%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.5% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.9% 4.4% 5.3% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 62.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1