Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
7.49 (league 1.50) 0.18 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 0.1% 0.0%
best score tips
5 - 0
9.2%
4 - 0
6.1%
3 - 0
3.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alhama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Madrid WAlhama
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense75%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid W Alhama
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins100%40%67%25%20%22%
Draws0%40%22%50%20%33%
Loses0%20%11%25%60%44%

Form: Real Madrid W: DLWWDWWWW • Alhama: LDDLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Real Madrid W Alhama
HATHAT
GF total13821448
GF avg3.31.62.31.00.80.9
GA total15661723
GA avg0.31.00.71.53.42.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Madrid WAlhama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%44%33%78%
1.567%22%22%56%
2.544%0%22%44%
3.533%0%11%33%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Madrid WAlhama
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score011246

Penalties

MetricReal Madrid WAlhama
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricReal Madrid WAlhama
Wins22
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-12-4
Biggest losses—2-10-48-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against1248

Model comparison

MetricReal Madrid WAlhama
Form65%35%
Att63%37%
Def91%9%
Poisson Distribution98%2%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total80.0%20.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Real Madrid W and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.03 @ Bet365
Draw21.00 @ William Hill
Away71.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes4.50 @ Betfair
No1.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid W = 7.49 (league 1.50), Alhama = 0.18 (league 1.34)

Alhama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 0.1% · Away win 0.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1