Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:00 • Estadi Johan Cruyff
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.18 (league 1.51) 0.24 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.2% 6.2% 1.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
16.6%
4 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona W 0 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.4% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.6% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.0% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense92%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 417 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins100%80%90%100%40%70%
Draws0%0%0%0%40%20%
Loses0%20%10%0%20%10%

Form: Barcelona W: WWWWWWWWLW • Real Madrid W: DLWWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Barcelona W Real Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total24234718826
GF avg4.84.64.73.61.62.6
GA total022156
GA avg0.00.40.20.21.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelona WReal Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%20%90%40%
1.590%0%70%20%
2.570%0%50%0%
3.570%0%40%0%
4.550%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets538426
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
Wins82
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-01-85-01-4
Biggest losses—1-0—2-1
Goals For8854
Goals Against0112

Model comparison

MetricBarcelona WReal Madrid W
Form44%56%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals85%15%
Total62.6%37.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Barcelona W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.08 @ Bet365
Draw12.40 @ Pinnacle
Away24.00 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ 10Bet
Under 2.54.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 10Bet
No1.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barcelona W = 3.18 (league 1.51), Real Madrid W = 0.24 (league 1.36)

Real Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona W 0 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.4% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.6% 4.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.0% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.2% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 1.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1