Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.87 (league 1.51) 0.09 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
85.7% 6.6% 0.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
21.4%
3 - 0
20.4%
1 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Eibar W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 5.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.4% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Madrid WEibar W
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack88%19%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid W Eibar W
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins100%33%64%17%40%27%
Draws0%33%18%17%0%9%
Loses0%33%18%67%60%64%

Form: Real Madrid W: DLWWDWWWWWL • Eibar W: LLDLWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Real Madrid W Eibar W
HATHAT
GF total18826235
GF avg3.61.32.40.30.60.5
GA total191010616
GA avg0.21.50.91.71.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Madrid WEibar W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%45%64%
1.564%27%0%45%
2.545%9%0%27%
3.536%9%0%9%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Madrid WEibar W
HATHAT
Clean sheets426224
Failed to score022426

Penalties

MetricReal Madrid WEibar W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricReal Madrid WEibar W
Wins51
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-41-00-1
Biggest losses—4-00-43-1
Goals For5411
Goals Against1443

Model comparison

MetricReal Madrid WEibar W
Form67%33%
Att82%18%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution97%3%
H2h80%20%
Goals88%13%
Total78.7%21.5%

Advice: Winner : Real Madrid W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.12 @ Bet365
Draw9.76 @ Pinnacle
Away21.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid W = 2.87 (league 1.51), Eibar W = 0.09 (league 1.35)

Eibar W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 5.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.4% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.4% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.7% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 0.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1