Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Alfredo Di StĆ©fano
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.51) 0.32 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.6% 13.5% 3.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.1%
1 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 7.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.5% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.8% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.6% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Madrid WReal Sociedad W
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack87%73%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid W Real Sociedad W
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins100%33%67%67%67%67%
Draws0%33%17%17%33%25%
Loses0%33%17%17%0%8%

Form: Real Madrid W: DLWWDWWWWWLW • Real Sociedad W: DWWWWLDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid W Real Sociedad W
HATHAT
GF total21829111324
GF avg3.51.32.41.82.22.0
GA total19105611
GA avg0.21.50.80.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Madrid WReal Sociedad W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%42%100%58%
1.567%25%67%33%
2.550%8%33%0%
3.533%8%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Madrid WReal Sociedad W
HATHAT
Clean sheets527235
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricReal Madrid WReal Sociedad W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricReal Madrid WReal Sociedad W
Wins54
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-00-3
Biggest losses—4-01-2—
Goals For5433
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricReal Madrid WReal Sociedad W
Form48%52%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h100%0%
Goals79%21%
Total64.4%35.6%

Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Real Madrid W = 2.32 (league 1.51), Real Sociedad W = 0.32 (league 1.36)

Real Sociedad W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid W 0 7.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.5% 5.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.8% 4.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.6% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.6% Ā· Draw 13.5% Ā· Away win 3.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1