Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.14 (league 1.51) 3.53 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.5% 4.0% 80.9%
best score tips
0 - 3
18.7%
0 - 4
16.5%
0 - 2
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eibar W 0 2.5% 9.0% 15.9% 18.7% 16.5% 11.7%
1 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.3% 1.6%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEibar WAtletico Madrid W
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack20%93%
Defense53%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Eibar W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%43%31%57%50%54%
Draws17%0%8%29%33%31%
Loses67%57%62%14%17%15%

Form: Eibar W: LLDLWLWLWLLLW • Atletico Madrid W: WWWDWDLDWWWLD

League goals

Metric Eibar W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total246151732
GF avg0.30.60.52.12.82.5
GA total1091910414
GA avg1.71.31.51.40.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEibar WAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%62%92%54%
1.50%46%62%23%
2.50%31%38%8%
3.50%8%38%8%
4.50%0%15%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEibar WAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235336
Failed to score437101

Penalties

MetricEibar WAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricEibar WAtletico Madrid W
Wins13
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-14-00-5
Biggest losses0-43-00-62-1
Goals For1145
Goals Against4362

Model comparison

MetricEibar WAtletico Madrid W
Form38%63%
Att18%82%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution5%95%
H2h15%85%
Goals23%77%
Total22.5%77.7%

Advice: Winner : Atletico Madrid W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ William Hill
Draw5.10 @ 188Bet
Away1.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Eibar W = 0.14 (league 1.51), Atletico Madrid W = 3.53 (league 1.35)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eibar W 0 2.5% 9.0% 15.9% 18.7% 16.5% 11.7%
1 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.3% 1.6%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.5% · Draw 4.0% · Away win 80.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1