Sat, Jan 10 2026 • 11:00 •
Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.49)
1.90 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.3% | 22.3% | 47.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Sociedad W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid W | 0 | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Real Sociedad W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 86% | 71% |
| Defense | 57% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Real Sociedad W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 43% | 50% | 71% | 57% | 64% |
| Draws | 29% | 43% | 36% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
Atletico Madrid WWWWDWDLDWWWLDD
Real Sociedad WDWWWWLDWWWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Real Sociedad W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Madrid W | Real Sociedad W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 57% | 93% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 29% | 64% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 7% | 36% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Real Sociedad W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Real Sociedad W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Real Sociedad W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Real Sociedad W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.16 @ Pinnacle
Away4.16 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365
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League standings
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