Sat, Jan 17 2026 ā¢ 17:30 ā¢
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.49)
2.89 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.4% | 14.8% | 65.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Madrid CFF W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eibar W | 0 | 1.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eibar W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 21% | 46% |
| Defense | 71% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 17 | 3.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eibar W | Madrid CFF W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 14% | 50% | 33% | 38% | 57% | 47% |
| Draws | 29% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 57% | 50% | 53% | 38% | 43% | 40% |
Form: Eibar W: LLDLWLWLWLLLWDW ā¢ Madrid CFF W: DWLDWWLWLLWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Eibar W | Madrid CFF W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 20 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eibar W | Madrid CFF W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 60% | 73% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 47% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 27% | 20% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 13% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eibar W | Madrid CFF W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eibar W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eibar W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 12-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eibar W | Madrid CFF W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 37.3% | 62.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Madrid CFF W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Eibar W = 1.17 (league 1.49), Madrid CFF W = 2.89 (league 1.35)
| Madrid CFF W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eibar W | 0 | 1.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% Ā· Draw 14.8% Ā· Away win 65.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1