Tue, Jan 13 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.49)
0.10 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8% | 25.3% | 2.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
31.2%
0 - 0
22.1%
2 - 0
22.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Athletic Club W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Madrid W | 0 | 22.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Madrid W | Athletic Club W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 73% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 83% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Madrid W | Athletic Club W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 100% | 43% | 73% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Draws | 0% | 29% | 13% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
| Loses | 0% | 29% | 13% | 25% | 14% | 20% |
Real Madrid WDLWWDWWWWWLWWWW
Athletic Club WDLLDDDLDDWDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Real Madrid W | Athletic Club W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 11 | 35 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 1 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Madrid W | Athletic Club W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 33% | 67% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 20% | 20% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 7% | 7% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 7% | 7% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Madrid W | Athletic Club W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Madrid W | Athletic Club W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Madrid W | Athletic Club W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 1-8 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Madrid W | Athletic Club W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.32 @ Dafabet
Draw6.25 @ Bet365
Away9.60 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…