Sat, Jan 31 2026 • 11:00 •
Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.48)
1.41 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.1% | 23.9% | 32.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Granada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Madrid W | 0 | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 56% | 31% |
| Defense | 6% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Granada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 44% | 38% | 41% | 33% | 38% | 35% |
| Draws | 33% | 38% | 35% | 11% | 38% | 24% |
| Loses | 22% | 25% | 24% | 56% | 25% | 41% |
Atletico Madrid WWWWDWDLDWWWLDDDLL
GranadaWLDWLDDLWLDLLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Granada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 19 | 39 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Madrid W | Granada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 65% | 65% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 35% | 35% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 18% | 6% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 18% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 18% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Granada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 5-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Madrid W | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 52.4% | 47.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ Bet365
Draw5.25 @ Unibet
Away10.25 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ 10Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…