Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Fernando Torres
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.49)
0.64 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.2% | 24.6% | 14.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Alhama | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Madrid CFF W | 0 | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.0% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Alhama |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 0% |
| Attack | 45% | 0% |
| Defense | 9% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Alhama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 30% | 50% | 40% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Draws | 20% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 45% | 70% | 80% | 75% |
Madrid CFF WDWLDWWLWLLWWWLLWLLLD
AlhamaLDDLWWLDLLLLLLLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Alhama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 20 | 28 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 15 | 23 | 38 | 21 | 30 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Madrid CFF W | Alhama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 80% | 30% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 40% | 10% | 65% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 10% | 10% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Alhama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Alhama |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Alhama |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-5 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 12-1 | 0-4 | 8-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 12 | 4 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Madrid CFF W | Alhama |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 81% | 19% |
| Total | 69.7% | 30.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ William Hill
Draw5.16 @ Pinnacle
Away7.12 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.06 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…