Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Jesus Navas
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.49)
2.82 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 15.8% | 62.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
7.9%
0 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Madrid W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sevilla W | 0 | 1.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sevilla W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 87% | 13% |
| Defense | 47% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sevilla W | Atletico Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 60% | 40% | 50% | 36% | 44% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 30% | 15% | 45% | 33% | 40% |
| Loses | 40% | 30% | 35% | 18% | 22% | 20% |
Sevilla WWLLLDWWLDWWWDWLLWLWW
Atletico Madrid WWWWDWDLDWWWLDDDLLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Sevilla W | Atletico Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 18 | 12 | 30 | 17 | 11 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sevilla W | Atletico Madrid W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 45% | 50% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 25% | 30% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 15% | 30% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 15% | 15% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sevilla W | Atletico Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sevilla W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sevilla W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-1 | 0-6 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sevilla W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 87% | 13% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away1.89 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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