Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:00 • Lezama Facilities
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.54) 2.36 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 18.7% 59.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.1%
0 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Madrid CFF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club W 0 2.9% 6.7% 7.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7%
1 3.4% 8.1% 9.5% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
2 2.0% 4.8% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic Club WMadrid CFF W
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack17%39%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club W Madrid CFF W
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins30%36%33%36%50%43%
Draws40%36%38%18%10%14%
Loses30%27%29%45%40%43%

Form: Athletic Club W: DLLDDDLDDWDWWWDWLWLLW • Madrid CFF W: DWLDWWLWLLWWWLLWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Athletic Club W Madrid CFF W
HATHAT
GF total81220132033
GF avg0.81.11.01.22.01.6
GA total161430152338
GA avg1.61.31.41.42.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic Club WMadrid CFF W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%57%71%76%
1.519%24%38%38%
2.55%19%24%10%
3.55%19%14%10%
4.55%10%10%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic Club WMadrid CFF W
HATHAT
Clean sheets549415
Failed to score448426

Penalties

MetricAthletic Club WMadrid CFF W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricAthletic Club WMadrid CFF W
Wins33
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-55-02-5
Biggest losses1-85-01-612-1
Goals For2555
Goals Against85612

Model comparison

MetricAthletic Club WMadrid CFF W
Form60%40%
Att30%70%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Madrid CFF W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.73 @ Pinnacle
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club W = 1.20 (league 1.54), Madrid CFF W = 2.36 (league 1.36)

Madrid CFF W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club W 0 2.9% 6.7% 7.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7%
1 3.4% 8.1% 9.5% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
2 2.0% 4.8% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 59.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1