Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 15:00 •
Lezama Facilities
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.49)
2.25 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7% | 18.8% | 63.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.2%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Madrid W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Athletic Club W | 0 | 4.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 82% |
| Defense | 0% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 36% | 33% | 35% | 42% | 45% | 43% |
| Draws | 36% | 33% | 35% | 42% | 27% | 35% |
| Loses | 27% | 33% | 30% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
Athletic Club WDLLDDDLDDWDWWWDWLWLLWWL
Atletico Madrid WWWWDWDLDWWWLDDDLLDWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 61% | 83% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 26% | 52% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 13% | 17% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 7-1 | 0-6 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 29.3% | 70.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.94 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away1.96 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ SBO
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings
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