Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 15:00 •
Lezama Facilities
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.51)
2.33 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 18.0% | 65.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.3%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Madrid W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Athletic Club W | 0 | 3.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 55% | 82% |
| Defense | 0% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 36% | 33% | 35% | 42% | 45% | 43% |
| Draws | 36% | 33% | 35% | 42% | 27% | 35% |
| Loses | 27% | 33% | 30% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
Athletic Club WDLLDDDLDDWDWWWDWLWLLWWL
Atletico Madrid WWWWDWDLDWWWLDDDLLDWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 61% | 83% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 26% | 52% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 13% | 17% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 7-1 | 0-6 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Athletic Club W | Atletico Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 29.3% | 70.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.94 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away1.96 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ SBO
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Athletic Club W
vs
Atletico Madrid W
Expected goals
0.95
Athletic Club W xG
League Avg: 1.51
Total
3.27
2.33
Atletico Madrid W xG
League Avg: 1.35
1x2 probabilities
Home
13.7%
Draw
18.0%
Away
65.1%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
10.3%
Tip
1 - 2
9.7%
Tip
0 - 1
8.8%
More chances
1.5+
87%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club W = 0.95 (league 1.51), Atletico Madrid W = 2.33 (league 1.35)
| Atletico Madrid W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Athletic Club W | 0 | 3.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 65.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1