Edf Logrono W vs Madrid CFF W

Primera División Femenina — Spain

Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:30 • Instalaciones de La Isla

Not Started

Edf Logrono W

—

Madrid CFF W

Expected Goals

1.29 (league 1.49) 2.74 (league 1.40)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
15.5%	16.4%	61.9%

best score tips

1 - 2

8.6%

1 - 3

7.9%

0 - 2

6.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Madrid CFF W
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Edf Logrono W	0	1.8%	4.9%	6.7%	6.1%	4.2%	2.3%
	1	2.3%	6.3%	8.6%	7.9%	5.4%	2.9%
	2	1.5%	4.0%	5.5%	5.1%	3.5%	1.9%
	3	0.6%	1.7%	2.4%	2.2%	1.5%	0.8%
	4	0.2%	0.6%	0.8%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Edf Logrono W +14.3, Madrid CFF W -30.8.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Edf Logrono W Elo 1407.1 · +14.3

Madrid CFF W Elo 1442.4 · -30.8

Elo gapLevel

Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%

Expected home share50%

Combined Elo2849.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2849.5

Elo home share 50%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	Edf Logrono W	Madrid CFF W
Overall Elo	1407.1	1442.4
Form Elo	1413.4	1416.6
Home / Away Elo	1431.3	1477.4
Attack Elo	1410.4	1523.5
Defense Elo	1406.7	1292.4
Last 5 Elo change	+14.3	-30.8

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Edf Logrono W last-5 Elo change: +14.3; Madrid CFF W last-5 Elo change: -30.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Edf Logrono W	Madrid CFF W
Played	5	5
Form	33%	7%
Attack	29%	14%
Defense	36%	21%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%

FT probability

2.5+

66%

FT probability

3.5+

47%

FT probability

BTTS

72%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Edf Logrono W			Madrid CFF W
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	13	26	13	13	26
Wins	8%	8%	8%	31%	38%	35%
Draws	15%	54%	35%	23%	8%	15%
Loses	77%	38%	58%	46%	54%	50%

Edf Logrono WDLLDLDDLDLLLLDLLLWLDLLLDWD

Madrid CFF WDWLDWWLWLLWWWLLWLLLDWLDLLL

League goals

Metric	Edf Logrono W			Madrid CFF W
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	11	10	21	14	21	35
GF avg	0.8	0.8	0.8	1.1	1.6	1.3
GA total	31	18	49	18	31	49
GA avg	2.4	1.4	1.9	1.4	2.4	1.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Edf Logrono W		Madrid CFF W
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	46%	88%	65%	81%
1.5	27%	42%	31%	46%
2.5	4%	31%	19%	12%
3.5	4%	19%	12%	12%
4.5	0%	8%	8%	8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Edf Logrono W			Madrid CFF W
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	3	3	4	1	5
Failed to score	7	7	14	5	4	9

Penalties

Metric	Edf Logrono W	Madrid CFF W
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	5 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	5

Streaks

Metric	Edf Logrono W	Madrid CFF W
Wins	1	3
Draws	2	1
Losses	4	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	0-4	5-0	2-5
Biggest losses	0-5	5-0	1-6	12-1
Goals For	2	4	5	5
Goals Against	5	5	6	12

Model comparison

Metric	Edf Logrono W	Madrid CFF W
Form	83%	17%
Att	67%	33%
Def	55%	45%
Poisson Distribution	33%	67%
H2h	25%	75%
Goals	33%	67%
Total	49.3%	50.7%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Edf Logrono W vs Madrid CFF W

Metric	Edf Logrono W	Madrid CFF W
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	5 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	5