Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:00 • Bogdanka Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.52) 0.18 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.8% 16.0% 2.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.9%
2 - 0
22.7%
3 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Górnik Łęczna W 0 11.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.9% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGórnik Łęczna WLech Poznan W
Played54
Form87%58%
Attack100%50%
Defense83%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Górnik Łęczna W Lech Poznan W
HATHAT
Played336314
Wins100%67%83%67%0%50%
Draws0%33%17%0%100%25%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%25%

Form: Górnik Łęczna W: WDWWWW • Lech Poznan W: WDWL

League goals

Metric Górnik Łęczna W Lech Poznan W
HATHAT
GF total9615516
GF avg3.02.02.51.71.01.5
GA total123415
GA avg0.30.70.51.31.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGórnik Łęczna WLech Poznan W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%75%
1.567%0%25%25%
2.550%0%25%25%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGórnik Łęczna WLech Poznan W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricGórnik Łęczna WLech Poznan W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGórnik Łęczna WLech Poznan W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-1
Biggest losses1-3
Goals For4431
Goals Against1131

Model comparison

MetricGórnik Łęczna WLech Poznan W
Form65%35%
Att68%32%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total74.0%26.0%

Advice: Winner : Górnik Łęczna W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Górnik Łęczna W = 1.98 (league 1.52), Lech Poznan W = 0.18 (league 1.69)

Lech Poznan W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Górnik Łęczna W 0 11.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.9% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.9% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.8% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 2.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1