Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 09:45 • Stadion Ludowy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.63) 1.17 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 19.3% 18.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pogon Szczecin W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Czarni Sosnowiec W 0 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.3% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCzarni Sosnowiec WPogon Szczecin W
Played55
Form100%67%
Attack100%45%
Defense80%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)20 | 49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Czarni Sosnowiec W Pogon Szczecin W
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins100%100%100%50%67%57%
Draws0%0%0%25%33%29%
Loses0%0%0%25%0%14%

Form: Czarni Sosnowiec W: WWWWWW • Pogon Szczecin W: WDWWDWL

League goals

Metric Czarni Sosnowiec W Pogon Szczecin W
HATHAT
GF total168248614
GF avg5.32.74.02.02.02.0
GA total314426
GA avg1.00.30.71.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCzarni Sosnowiec WPogon Szczecin W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%57%57%
1.5100%17%57%29%
2.583%17%57%0%
3.550%0%14%0%
4.533%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCzarni Sosnowiec WPogon Szczecin W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricCzarni Sosnowiec WPogon Szczecin W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCzarni Sosnowiec WPogon Szczecin W
Wins62
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-35-01-3
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For7353
Goals Against3121

Model comparison

MetricCzarni Sosnowiec WPogon Szczecin W
Form60%40%
Att69%31%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h64%36%
Goals64%36%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Winner : Czarni Sosnowiec W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Czarni Sosnowiec W = 2.28 (league 1.63), Pogon Szczecin W = 1.17 (league 1.71)

Pogon Szczecin W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Czarni Sosnowiec W 0 3.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.5% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.3% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1