Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 09:45 •
Stadion Ludowy
Expected Goals
2.45 (league 1.52)
1.18 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.3% | 18.0% | 16.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
7.9%
1 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Pogon Szczecin W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Czarni Sosnowiec W | 0 | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Czarni Sosnowiec W | Pogon Szczecin W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 45% |
| Defense | 80% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 20 | 4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
83%
FT probability
3.5+
59%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Czarni Sosnowiec W | Pogon Szczecin W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
Form: Czarni Sosnowiec W: WWWWWW • Pogon Szczecin W: WDWWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Czarni Sosnowiec W | Pogon Szczecin W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 8 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 5.3 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Czarni Sosnowiec W | Pogon Szczecin W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 57% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 17% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | 57% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Czarni Sosnowiec W | Pogon Szczecin W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Czarni Sosnowiec W | Pogon Szczecin W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Czarni Sosnowiec W | Pogon Szczecin W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Czarni Sosnowiec W | Pogon Szczecin W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
Advice: Winner : Czarni Sosnowiec W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Czarni Sosnowiec W = 2.45 (league 1.52), Pogon Szczecin W = 1.18 (league 1.69)
| Pogon Szczecin W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Czarni Sosnowiec W | 0 | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 16.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1