Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
voestalpine Stadion
Expected Goals
3.03 (league 1.75)
1.19 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
8.0%
3 - 0
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| SV Lafnitz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| LASK Juniors | 0 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
LASK Juniors carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 110 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: LASK Juniors -12.4, SV Lafnitz +13.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
LASK Juniors
vs
SV Lafnitz
Elo gapLASK Juniors +110
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2999.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2999.9
Elo home share
65%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | LASK Juniors | SV Lafnitz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1537.2 | 1462.7 |
| Form Elo | 1534.3 | 1471.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1542.4 | 1488.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1735.5 | 1536.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1542 | 1253.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -12.4 | +13.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. LASK Juniors last-5 Elo change: -12.4; SV Lafnitz last-5 Elo change: +13.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | LASK Juniors | SV Lafnitz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 0% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | LASK Juniors | SV Lafnitz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 58% | 45% | 52% | 25% | 45% | 35% |
| Draws | 33% | 18% | 26% | 42% | 18% | 30% |
| Loses | 8% | 36% | 22% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
LASK JuniorsWWDWWWDWWDWLLWWWLDLDLDW
SV LafnitzWDDWLDWLLWLLWWWDLLLDWDD
League goals
| Metric | LASK Juniors | SV Lafnitz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 21 | 54 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | LASK Juniors | SV Lafnitz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 61% | 78% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 22% | 48% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 17% | 22% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 26% | 4% | 13% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 4% | 4% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | LASK Juniors | SV Lafnitz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | LASK Juniors | SV Lafnitz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | LASK Juniors | SV Lafnitz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-5 | 7-4 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | LASK Juniors | SV Lafnitz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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