Velden vs Kalsdorf

Regionalliga - Mitte — Austria

Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 • Waldarena Velden

Not Started

Velden

—

Kalsdorf

Expected Goals

1.37 (league 1.75) 1.29 (league 1.52)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
38.6%	26.0%	34.9%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.4%

1 - 0

9.6%

0 - 1

9.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Kalsdorf
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Velden	0	7.0%	9.0%	5.8%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
	1	9.6%	12.4%	8.0%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
	2	6.6%	8.5%	5.4%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
	3	3.0%	3.9%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	1.0%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Velden +0.6, Kalsdorf -34.5.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Velden Elo 1536.8 · +0.6

Kalsdorf Elo 1585.7 · -34.5

Elo gapKalsdorf +14

Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%

Expected home share48%

Combined Elo3122.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3122.5

Elo home share 48%

Match tone Strong Watch

Metric	Velden	Kalsdorf
Overall Elo	1536.8	1585.7
Form Elo	1542.9	1573.4
Home / Away Elo	1530.2	1542.7
Attack Elo	1557.6	1641.6
Defense Elo	1498.3	1484.1
Last 5 Elo change	+0.6	-34.5

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Velden last-5 Elo change: +0.6; Kalsdorf last-5 Elo change: -34.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Velden	Kalsdorf
Played	5	5
Form	47%	27%
Attack	17%	33%
Defense	100%	33%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	1 \| 0.2	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	0 \| 0	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%

FT probability

2.5+

58%

FT probability

3.5+

41%

FT probability

BTTS

66%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Velden			Kalsdorf
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	12	23	12	11	23
Wins	36%	17%	26%	58%	45%	52%
Draws	36%	50%	43%	33%	27%	30%
Loses	27%	33%	30%	8%	27%	17%

VeldenLLWDLDWLLLWDDDLDWWWDDDD

KalsdorfDDWWWWWWWDLLWWWLWWDDDLD

League goals

Metric	Velden			Kalsdorf
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	16	14	30	24	17	41
GF avg	1.5	1.2	1.3	2.0	1.5	1.8
GA total	14	14	28	13	18	31
GA avg	1.3	1.2	1.2	1.1	1.6	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Velden		Kalsdorf
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	70%	65%	70%	65%
1.5	35%	43%	48%	39%
2.5	22%	9%	35%	22%
3.5	4%	4%	17%	9%
4.5	0%	0%	9%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Velden			Kalsdorf
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	3	8	5	3	8
Failed to score	3	4	7	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	Velden	Kalsdorf
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	3

Streaks

Metric	Velden	Kalsdorf
Wins	3	7
Draws	3	3
Losses	3	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-3	5-2	2-4
Biggest losses	1-4	2-1	0-3	4-0
Goals For	4	3	5	4
Goals Against	4	2	3	4

Model comparison

Metric	Velden	Kalsdorf
Form	64%	36%
Att	33%	67%
Def	100%	0%
Poisson Distribution	50%	50%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	0%	100%
Total	49.0%	51.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Velden vs Kalsdorf

Metric	Velden	Kalsdorf
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	3