Regionalliga - Mitte — Austria
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 17:00 • STAHLBAU MÜLLER ARENA
Match Finished

St. Anna

0 - 1

Wallern / Marienkirchen

Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.74) 1.92 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.8% 18.5% 74.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 2
19.1%
0 - 3
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Wallern / Marienkirchen
0 1 2 3 4 5
St. Anna 0 10.3% 19.9% 19.1% 12.3% 5.9% 2.3%
1 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
2 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Wallern / Marienkirchen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 46 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: St. Anna +13.3, Wallern / Marienkirchen +23.6.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
St. Anna Elo 1441.6 · +13.3
vs
Wallern / Marienkirchen Elo 1522.6 · +23.6
Elo gapWallern / Marienkirchen +46
Home / draw / away32% / 25% / 43%
Expected home share43%
Combined Elo2964.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2964.2
Elo home share 43%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric St. Anna Wallern / Marienkirchen
Overall Elo1441.61522.6
Form Elo1436.81531
Home / Away Elo1469.51493.1
Attack Elo1458.51521.9
Defense Elo1297.11532.7
Last 5 Elo change+13.3+23.6

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. St. Anna last-5 Elo change: +13.3; Wallern / Marienkirchen last-5 Elo change: +23.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSt. AnnaWallern / Marienkirchen
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack0%42%
Defense100%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 05 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric St. Anna Wallern / Marienkirchen
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins0%0%0%42%36%39%
Draws27%42%35%25%27%26%
Loses73%58%65%33%36%35%
St. AnnaLLLLDDLLLLLLLLDLLLDDDDD
Wallern / MarienkirchenLLWLLWWLWWDDWLLWLDWDDWD

League goals

Metric St. Anna Wallern / Marienkirchen
HATHAT
GF total4812211132
GF avg0.40.70.51.81.01.4
GA total322456151631
GA avg2.92.02.41.31.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSt. AnnaWallern / Marienkirchen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%78%57%61%
1.54%57%39%48%
2.54%43%22%17%
3.50%35%9%4%
4.50%13%9%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSt. AnnaWallern / Marienkirchen
HATHAT
Clean sheets235549
Failed to score76135510

Penalties

MetricSt. AnnaWallern / Marienkirchen
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSt. AnnaWallern / Marienkirchen
Wins02
Draws22
Losses82

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——6-00-2
Biggest losses0-86-00-35-2
Goals For1363
Goals Against8635

Model comparison

MetricSt. AnnaWallern / Marienkirchen
Form36%64%
Att0%100%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h29%71%
Goals24%76%
Total25.5%74.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.90 @ Betfair
Draw3.90 @ Betfair
Away1.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.44 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Marathonbet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • St. Anna vs Wallern / Marienkirchen