Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 17:00 •
Sportzentrum Kalsdorf
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.71)
1.40 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.0% | 25.3% | 37.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
8.5%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| LASK Juniors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kalsdorf | 0 | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Kalsdorf carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 91 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kalsdorf -41.9, LASK Juniors -22.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Kalsdorf
vs
LASK Juniors
Elo gapKalsdorf +91
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3093.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3093.4
Elo home share
63%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Kalsdorf | LASK Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1574.9 | 1518.5 |
| Form Elo | 1554.8 | 1502 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1551.4 | 1507.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1637.1 | 1708.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1481.5 | 1523.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -41.9 | -22.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kalsdorf last-5 Elo change: -41.9; LASK Juniors last-5 Elo change: -22.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kalsdorf | LASK Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kalsdorf | LASK Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 58% | 42% | 50% | 54% | 45% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 31% | 18% | 25% |
| Loses | 8% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 36% | 25% |
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LASK JuniorsWWDWWWDWWDWLLWWWLDLDLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Kalsdorf | LASK Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 18 | 42 | 33 | 21 | 54 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 20 | 33 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kalsdorf | LASK Juniors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 67% | 79% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 42% | 54% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 21% | 42% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 8% | 25% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 13% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kalsdorf | LASK Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kalsdorf | LASK Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kalsdorf | LASK Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 2-4 | 6-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kalsdorf | LASK Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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