Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 17:00 •
Strobl Arena Weiz
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 1.71)
0.89 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7% | 14.8% | 10.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.1%
3 - 0
9.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| St. Anna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Weiz | 0 | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Weiz carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 121 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Weiz +5.1, St. Anna +1.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Weiz
vs
St. Anna
Elo gapWeiz +121
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo2948.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2948.4
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Weiz | St. Anna |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1517 | 1431.4 |
| Form Elo | 1507.3 | 1423.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1522 | 1469.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1660.3 | 1448 |
| Defense Elo | 1438.9 | 1303.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.1 | +1.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Weiz last-5 Elo change: +5.1; St. Anna last-5 Elo change: +1.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Weiz | St. Anna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Weiz | St. Anna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 58% | 25% | 42% | 25% | 42% | 33% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 33% | 75% | 58% | 67% |
WeizWDDLWLWWWLDDDLDLLLDDWLDD
St. AnnaLLLLDDLLLLLLLLDLLLDDDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Weiz | St. Anna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 15 | 42 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 23 | 23 | 46 | 33 | 24 | 57 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Weiz | St. Anna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 83% | 42% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 54% | 4% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 38% | 4% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 4% | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Weiz | St. Anna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Weiz | St. Anna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Weiz | St. Anna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 4-0 | 0-8 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Weiz | St. Anna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 59.4% | 40.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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