Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Treibach

Regionalliga - Mitte — Austria

Thu, Apr 30 2026 • 17:00 • Sportanlage Wallern

Not Started

home	draw	away
74.6%	9.5%	4.7%

		Treibach
Wallern / Marienkirchen	0	1.9%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
1	6.3%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
2	10.2%	7.1%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
3	11.0%	7.7%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	9.0%	6.3%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
5	5.8%	4.1%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Home strong edge

Wallern / Marienkirchen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 147 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Wallern / Marienkirchen +26.0, Treibach -9.3.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone

Wallern / Marienkirchen Elo 1532.8 · +26.0

Treibach Elo 1420.5 · -9.3

Elo gapWallern / Marienkirchen +147

Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%

Expected home share70%

Combined Elo2953.3

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home strong edge

Confidence band Strong confidence

Upset risk Low

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2953.3

Elo home share 70%

Match tone Heavy Favorite

Metric	Wallern / Marienkirchen	Treibach
Overall Elo	1532.8	1420.5
Form Elo	1549	1413.6
Home / Away Elo	1516.6	1442.7
Attack Elo	1515.8	1395.1
Defense Elo	1543.2	1343.9
Last 5 Elo change	+26.0	-9.3

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Wallern / Marienkirchen last-5 Elo change: +26.0; Treibach last-5 Elo change: -9.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Wallern / Marienkirchen	Treibach
Played	5	5
Form	60%	20%
Attack	100%	0%
Defense	100%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	0 \| 0
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	0 \| 0	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%

FT probability

2.5+

65%

FT probability

3.5+

46%

FT probability

BTTS

63%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Wallern / Marienkirchen			Treibach
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	12	24	12	12	24
Wins	42%	42%	42%	25%	8%	17%
Draws	25%	25%	25%	33%	17%	25%
Loses	33%	33%	33%	42%	75%	58%

Wallern / MarienkirchenLLWLLWWLWWDDWLLWLDWDDWDW

TreibachLLLWLWLWLLDLDLLLWLDDLDLD

League goals

Metric	Wallern / Marienkirchen			Treibach
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	21	12	33	13	10	23
GF avg	1.8	1.0	1.4	1.1	0.8	1.0
GA total	15	16	31	15	37	52
GA avg	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.3	3.1	2.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Wallern / Marienkirchen		Treibach
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	58%	58%	46%	83%
1.5	38%	46%	29%	50%
2.5	21%	17%	17%	38%
3.5	8%	4%	4%	25%
4.5	8%	4%	0%	13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Wallern / Marienkirchen			Treibach
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	5	10	4	0	4
Failed to score	5	5	10	6	7	13

Penalties

Metric	Wallern / Marienkirchen	Treibach
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Wallern / Marienkirchen	Treibach
Wins	2	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	6-0	0-2	4-1	1-3
Biggest losses	0-3	5-2	2-4	6-0
Goals For	6	3	4	3
Goals Against	3	5	4	6

Model comparison

Metric	Wallern / Marienkirchen	Treibach
Form	75%	25%
Att	100%	0%
Def	100%	0%
Poisson Distribution	81%	19%
H2h	88%	13%
Goals	100%	0%
Total	81.3%	19.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Treibach

Metric	Wallern / Marienkirchen	Treibach
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Wallern / Marienkirchen vs Treibach