Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 10:00 • Estádio de São Lúis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.34) 2.64 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.9% 9.6% 83.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
19.9%
0 - 3
17.5%
0 - 1
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 5.7% 15.1% 19.9% 17.5% 11.5% 6.1%
1 1.3% 3.4% 4.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFarenseMaritimo
Played33
Form44%67%
Attack25%17%
Defense67%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.31 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 8 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Farense Maritimo
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%50%100%67%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%33%50%0%33%

Form: Farense: DLW • Maritimo: LWW

League goals

Metric Farense Maritimo
HATHAT
GF total033112
GF avg0.01.51.00.51.00.7
GA total314101
GA avg3.00.51.30.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFarenseMaritimo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%33%
1.533%33%0%0%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFarenseMaritimo
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricFarenseMaritimo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFarenseMaritimo
Wins00
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-21-00-1
Biggest losses0-30-1
Goals For0211
Goals Against3110

Model comparison

MetricFarenseMaritimo
Form40%60%
Att60%40%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h75%25%
Goals71%29%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Farense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Farense = 0.22 (league 1.34), Maritimo = 2.64 (league 1.14)

Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 5.7% 15.1% 19.9% 17.5% 11.5% 6.1%
1 1.3% 3.4% 4.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.9% · Draw 9.6% · Away win 83.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1