Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.33 (league 1.35) 0.44 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.5% 7.1% 2.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
12.8%
4 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.9% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFeirenseLusitânia Lourosa
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack44%31%
Defense81%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Feirense Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%0%40%0%50%20%
Draws0%67%40%100%0%60%
Loses0%33%20%0%50%20%

Form: Feirense: DWLWD • Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLD

League goals

Metric Feirense Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
GF total617325
GF avg3.00.31.41.01.01.0
GA total123336
GA avg0.50.70.61.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFeirenseLusitânia Lourosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%80%60%
1.540%0%20%40%
2.520%0%0%20%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFeirenseLusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricFeirenseLusitânia Lourosa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFeirenseLusitânia Lourosa
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-1
Biggest losses1-03-1
Goals For4121
Goals Against1123

Model comparison

MetricFeirenseLusitânia Lourosa
Form57%43%
Att58%42%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h50%50%
Goals75%25%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Winner : Feirense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away3.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Feirense = 3.33 (league 1.35), Lusitânia Lourosa = 0.44 (league 1.15)

Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.9% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.9% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.5% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1