Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:30 • Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.36) 0.88 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 35.1% 36.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
17.5%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Oliveirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
União de Leiria 0 20.0% 17.5% 7.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 12.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião de LeiriaOliveirense
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack24%29%
Defense82%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 7 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União de Leiria Oliveirense
HATHAT
Played246426
Wins100%25%50%25%0%17%
Draws0%50%33%75%50%67%
Loses0%25%17%0%50%17%

Form: União de Leiria: WLDWWD • Oliveirense: DDWLDD

League goals

Metric União de Leiria Oliveirense
HATHAT
GF total437606
GF avg2.00.81.21.50.01.0
GA total235516
GA avg1.00.80.81.30.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião de LeiriaOliveirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.533%17%33%33%
2.517%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião de LeiriaOliveirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricUnião de LeiriaOliveirense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUnião de LeiriaOliveirense
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-21-0
Biggest losses1-01-0
Goals For3220
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricUnião de LeiriaOliveirense
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total63.8%36.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : União de Leiria or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away5.10 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União de Leiria = 0.74 (league 1.36), Oliveirense = 0.88 (league 1.14)

Oliveirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
União de Leiria 0 20.0% 17.5% 7.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 12.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 36.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1