Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.37) 0.44 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 38.2% 17.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.9%
1 - 0
23.6%
0 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Felgueiras 1932
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 26.9% 11.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenafielFelgueiras 1932
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack27%55%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penafiel Felgueiras 1932
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%0%0%67%0%40%
Draws50%33%40%0%50%20%
Loses50%67%60%33%50%40%

Form: Penafiel: LDLLD • Felgueiras 1932: LLDWW

League goals

Metric Penafiel Felgueiras 1932
HATHAT
GF total033516
GF avg0.01.00.61.70.51.2
GA total257347
GA avg1.01.71.41.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenafielFelgueiras 1932
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%60%100%
1.520%60%40%20%
2.50%20%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenafielFelgueiras 1932
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricPenafielFelgueiras 1932
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPenafielFelgueiras 1932
Wins00
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-1—
Biggest losses0-23-20-13-0
Goals For0231
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricPenafielFelgueiras 1932
Form22%78%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Felgueiras 1932 and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ SBO
Under 2.51.84 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Penafiel = 0.88 (league 1.37), Felgueiras 1932 = 0.44 (league 1.15)

Felgueiras 1932
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 26.9% 11.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.4% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 17.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1