Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Estádio de São Lúis
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.36) 4.25 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.4% 5.2% 66.8%
best score tips
0 - 4
9.3%
0 - 3
8.7%
0 - 5
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 0.7% 2.9% 6.1% 8.7% 9.3% 7.9%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8%
2 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.1%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFarenseChaves
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack29%41%
Defense65%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Farense Chaves
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%67%40%0%50%20%
Draws0%33%20%100%50%80%
Loses100%0%40%0%0%0%

Form: Farense: DLWLW • Chaves: DDDWD

League goals

Metric Farense Chaves
HATHAT
GF total055347
GF avg0.01.71.01.02.01.4
GA total516325
GA avg2.50.31.21.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFarenseChaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%100%80%
1.540%40%40%20%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFarenseChaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricFarenseChaves
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFarenseChaves
Wins11
Draws13
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2—0-2
Biggest losses0-3———
Goals For0212
Goals Against3112

Model comparison

MetricFarenseChaves
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total50.0%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : Farense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away3.25 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Farense = 0.74 (league 1.36), Chaves = 4.25 (league 1.18)

Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 0.7% 2.9% 6.1% 8.7% 9.3% 7.9%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.5% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8%
2 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.1%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.4% · Draw 5.2% · Away win 66.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1