Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Estadio Municipal de Chaves
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.34) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 31.1% 44.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Vizela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 15.1% 17.3% 9.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChavesVizela
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack44%50%
Defense78%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chaves Vizela
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%67%33%100%33%67%
Draws100%33%67%0%67%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Chaves: DDDWDW • Vizela: WWDWDW

League goals

Metric Chaves Vizela
HATHAT
GF total3697411
GF avg1.02.01.52.31.31.8
GA total325033
GA avg1.00.70.80.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChavesVizela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%50%
1.550%17%50%0%
2.50%0%17%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChavesVizela
HATHAT
Clean sheets022303
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChavesVizela
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChavesVizela
Wins12
Draws31
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-24-01-2
Biggest losses
Goals For1242
Goals Against1201

Model comparison

MetricChavesVizela
Form45%55%
Att47%53%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total49.7%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Chaves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Superbet
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chaves = 0.75 (league 1.34), Vizela = 1.14 (league 1.14)

Vizela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 15.1% 17.3% 9.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.9% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1