Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio Dr. Jorge Sampaio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.22 (league 1.34) 1.49 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.3% 24.5% 69.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.8%
0 - 2
20.0%
0 - 0
18.0%
Score & goals probability table
Farense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 18.0% 26.8% 20.0% 10.0% 3.7% 1.1%
1 4.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitânia LourosaFarense
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack33%22%
Defense61%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Farense
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%67%33%0%67%33%
Draws100%0%50%0%33%17%
Loses0%33%17%100%0%50%

Form: Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDW • Farense: DLWLWL

League goals

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Farense
HATHAT
GF total347055
GF avg1.01.31.20.01.70.8
GA total347718
GA avg1.01.31.22.30.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitânia LourosaFarense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%50%67%
1.533%33%33%50%
2.50%17%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitânia LourosaFarense
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score101303

Penalties

MetricLusitânia LourosaFarense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLusitânia LourosaFarense
Wins11
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-20-2
Biggest losses3-10-3
Goals For2202
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricLusitânia LourosaFarense
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.8%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lusitânia Lourosa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.71 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia Lourosa = 0.22 (league 1.34), Farense = 1.49 (league 1.14)

Farense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 18.0% 26.8% 20.0% 10.0% 3.7% 1.1%
1 4.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.3% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 69.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1