Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:00 • Estadio Carlos Osorio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.34) 0.44 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 36.0% 16.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.4%
1 - 0
23.7%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pacos Ferreira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oliveirense 0 24.4% 10.7% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOliveirensePacos Ferreira
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack29%14%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oliveirense Pacos Ferreira
HATHAT
Played325336
Wins33%0%20%0%0%0%
Draws67%50%60%67%67%67%
Loses0%50%20%33%33%33%

Form: Oliveirense: DDWLD • Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDD

League goals

Metric Oliveirense Pacos Ferreira
HATHAT
GF total404303
GF avg1.30.00.81.00.00.5
GA total314437
GA avg1.00.50.81.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOliveirensePacos Ferreira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%33%50%
1.520%20%17%50%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOliveirensePacos Ferreira
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricOliveirensePacos Ferreira
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOliveirensePacos Ferreira
Wins10
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0
Biggest losses1-01-23-0
Goals For2020
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricOliveirensePacos Ferreira
Form60%40%
Att67%33%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals17%83%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Oliveirense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Pinnacle
Away3.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oliveirense = 0.97 (league 1.34), Pacos Ferreira = 0.44 (league 1.14)

Pacos Ferreira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oliveirense 0 24.4% 10.7% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.5% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 16.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1