Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:30 • Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.34) 0.80 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.0% 36.9% 35.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.8%
0 - 1
18.2%
1 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portimonense 0 22.8% 18.2% 7.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 12.4% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.3% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortimonenseUnião de Leiria
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack44%33%
Defense44%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 8 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portimonense União de Leiria
HATHAT
Played336235
Wins33%67%50%100%33%60%
Draws33%0%17%0%33%20%
Loses33%33%33%0%33%20%

Form: Portimonense: WLDWLW • União de Leiria: WLDWW

League goals

Metric Portimonense União de Leiria
HATHAT
GF total4610426
GF avg1.32.01.72.00.71.2
GA total4711224
GA avg1.32.31.81.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortimonenseUnião de Leiria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%60%60%
1.550%50%40%20%
2.517%17%20%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortimonenseUnião de Leiria
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricPortimonenseUnião de Leiria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPortimonenseUnião de Leiria
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-33-21-2
Biggest losses1-24-11-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2421

Model comparison

MetricPortimonenseUnião de Leiria
Form41%59%
Att57%43%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h20%80%
Goals31%69%
Total37.3%62.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or União de Leiria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portimonense = 0.68 (league 1.34), União de Leiria = 0.80 (league 1.14)

União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portimonense 0 22.8% 18.2% 7.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 12.4% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.3% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 36.9% · Away win 35.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1