Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 • Estádio de São Lúis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.36) 2.54 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 16.3% 67.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.7%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 3
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Penafiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 3.0% 7.7% 9.7% 8.3% 5.3% 2.7%
1 2.9% 7.3% 9.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.6%
2 1.4% 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFarensePenafiel
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack38%31%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Farense Penafiel
HATHAT
Played347448
Wins0%75%43%25%25%25%
Draws0%25%14%25%25%25%
Loses100%0%43%50%50%50%

Form: Farense: DLWLWLW • Penafiel: LDLLDWWL

League goals

Metric Farense Penafiel
HATHAT
GF total077358
GF avg0.01.81.00.81.31.0
GA total729459
GA avg2.30.51.31.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFarensePenafiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%63%50%
1.543%43%38%50%
2.50%14%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFarensePenafiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score303213

Penalties

MetricFarensePenafiel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFarensePenafiel
Wins12
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-3—0-23-2
Goals For0222
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricFarensePenafiel
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Farense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.04 @ Pinnacle
Away5.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Farense = 0.96 (league 1.36), Penafiel = 2.54 (league 1.18)

Penafiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 3.0% 7.7% 9.7% 8.3% 5.3% 2.7%
1 2.9% 7.3% 9.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.6%
2 1.4% 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 2.4% 1.2%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 67.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1