Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 11:00 • Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.36) 1.43 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.1% 26.8% 60.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.3%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Farense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Felgueiras 1932 0 14.9% 21.3% 15.3% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7%
1 7.1% 10.1% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFelgueiras 1932Farense
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack50%60%
Defense10%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Felgueiras 1932 Farense
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%0%30%20%60%40%
Draws0%40%20%20%40%30%
Loses40%60%50%60%0%30%

Form: Felgueiras 1932: LLDWWLWDLL • Farense: DLWLWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Felgueiras 1932 Farense
HATHAT
GF total83114711
GF avg1.60.61.10.81.41.1
GA total6101610212
GA avg1.22.01.62.00.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFelgueiras 1932Farense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%90%50%60%
1.540%50%40%40%
2.510%20%10%20%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFelgueiras 1932Farense
HATHAT
Clean sheets101134
Failed to score134415

Penalties

MetricFelgueiras 1932Farense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFelgueiras 1932Farense
Wins21
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-30-2
Biggest losses1-33-00-3—
Goals For3242
Goals Against3331

Model comparison

MetricFelgueiras 1932Farense
Form33%67%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Farense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Felgueiras 1932 = 0.47 (league 1.36), Farense = 1.43 (league 1.18)

Farense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Felgueiras 1932 0 14.9% 21.3% 15.3% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7%
1 7.1% 10.1% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%
2 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 60.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1