Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 17:15 • Estádio do Lusitânia FC
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.32) 1.11 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 31.4% 43.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Vizela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 15.4% 17.2% 9.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.0% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.4% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitânia LourosaVizela
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack33%50%
Defense17%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Vizela
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%50%25%75%25%50%
Draws75%0%38%25%50%38%
Loses25%50%38%0%25%13%

Form: Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLL • Vizela: WWDWDWLD

League goals

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Vizela
HATHAT
GF total4489413
GF avg1.01.01.02.31.01.6
GA total5813246
GA avg1.32.01.60.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitânia LourosaVizela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%63%
1.525%50%50%13%
2.50%25%13%0%
3.50%13%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitânia LourosaVizela
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricLusitânia LourosaVizela
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLusitânia LourosaVizela
Wins12
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-24-01-2
Biggest losses1-24-01-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2421

Model comparison

MetricLusitânia LourosaVizela
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h100%0%
Goals64%36%
Total41.6%58.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vizela

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Pinnacle
Away2.43 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia Lourosa = 0.76 (league 1.32), Vizela = 1.11 (league 1.17)

Vizela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 15.4% 17.2% 9.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.0% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.4% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 43.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1