Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio dos Barreiros
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.36) 0.68 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 40.5% 32.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.1%
0 - 1
19.1%
1 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritimo 0 28.1% 19.1% 6.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 11.3% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaritimoUnião de Leiria
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack100%83%
Defense33%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 7 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maritimo União de Leiria
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%75%50%50%25%38%
Draws50%0%25%25%50%38%
Loses25%25%25%25%25%25%

Form: Maritimo: LWWWDWDL • União de Leiria: WLDWWDDL

League goals

Metric Maritimo União de Leiria
HATHAT
GF total448538
GF avg1.01.01.01.30.81.0
GA total415538
GA avg1.00.30.61.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaritimoUnião de Leiria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%63%63%
1.525%13%25%25%
2.50%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaritimoUnião de Leiria
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricMaritimoUnião de Leiria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMaritimoUnião de Leiria
Wins32
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-21-2
Biggest losses0-11-01-31-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2131

Model comparison

MetricMaritimoUnião de Leiria
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or União de Leiria and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 888Sport
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away4.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maritimo = 0.59 (league 1.36), União de Leiria = 0.68 (league 1.18)

União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritimo 0 28.1% 19.1% 6.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 11.3% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 40.5% · Away win 32.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1