Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:30 • Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.34) 0.18 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 54.2% 10.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
49.3%
1 - 0
25.8%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Feirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 49.3% 9.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.8% 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenafielFeirense
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack67%44%
Defense44%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

46%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penafiel Feirense
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%25%29%67%0%29%
Draws33%25%29%0%50%29%
Loses33%50%43%33%50%43%

Form: Penafiel: LDLLDWW • Feirense: DWLWDLL

League goals

Metric Penafiel Feirense
HATHAT
GF total257718
GF avg0.71.31.02.30.31.1
GA total257347
GA avg0.71.31.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenafielFeirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%43%57%71%
1.543%43%29%29%
2.50%14%14%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenafielFeirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score213033

Penalties

MetricPenafielFeirense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPenafielFeirense
Wins01
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-1
Biggest losses0-23-21-22-0
Goals For2241
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricPenafielFeirense
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Penafiel or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penafiel = 0.52 (league 1.34), Feirense = 0.18 (league 1.14)

Feirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 49.3% 9.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.8% 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 54.2% · Away win 10.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1