Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 20:00 •
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.36)
1.71 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.5% | 23.6% | 59.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Chaves | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| União de Leiria | 0 | 8.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | União de Leiria | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 42% | 50% |
| Defense | 58% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | União de Leiria | Chaves | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Form: União de Leiria: WLDWWDDL • Chaves: DDDWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | União de Leiria | Chaves | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | União de Leiria | Chaves | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 63% | 88% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 38% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | União de Leiria | Chaves | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | União de Leiria | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | União de Leiria | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | União de Leiria | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : União de Leiria or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): União de Leiria = 0.76 (league 1.36), Chaves = 1.71 (league 1.14)
| Chaves | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| União de Leiria | 0 | 8.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 59.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1