Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.36) 1.11 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 21.5% 20.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraLeixoes
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack35%15%
Defense73%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Leixoes
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%0%11%40%25%33%
Draws50%60%56%0%25%11%
Loses25%40%33%60%50%56%

Form: Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWL • Leixoes: WDWLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Leixoes
HATHAT
GF total73107411
GF avg1.80.61.11.41.01.2
GA total571213619
GA avg1.31.41.32.61.52.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraLeixoes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%56%89%
1.533%56%33%67%
2.511%11%33%22%
3.511%0%0%22%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraLeixoes
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraLeixoes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraLeixoes
Wins11
Draws31
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-52-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against2352

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraLeixoes
Form67%33%
Att69%31%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h36%64%
Goals46%54%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Pacos Ferreira or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.99 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pacos Ferreira = 1.99 (league 1.36), Leixoes = 1.11 (league 1.18)

Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 20.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1