Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio do Lusitânia FC
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.36) 1.23 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 30.4% 51.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 0
16.3%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 16.3% 19.9% 12.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 11.8% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitânia LourosaUnião de Leiria
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack67%78%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa União de Leiria
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%40%20%60%40%50%
Draws80%0%40%20%40%30%
Loses20%60%40%20%20%20%

Form: Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLLDL • União de Leiria: WLDWWDDLWW

League goals

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa União de Leiria
HATHAT
GF total56117613
GF avg1.01.21.11.41.21.3
GA total611176410
GA avg1.22.21.71.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitânia LourosaUnião de Leiria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%70%70%
1.530%50%40%20%
2.50%30%20%10%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitânia LourosaUnião de Leiria
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricLusitânia LourosaUnião de Leiria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLusitânia LourosaUnião de Leiria
Wins12
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-23-21-3
Biggest losses1-24-01-31-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against2431

Model comparison

MetricLusitânia LourosaUnião de Leiria
Form33%67%
Att46%54%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or União de Leiria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia Lourosa = 0.59 (league 1.36), União de Leiria = 1.23 (league 1.18)

União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 16.3% 19.9% 12.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.6% 11.8% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 51.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1