Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio do Marítimo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.36) 0.71 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 32.9% 24.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
17.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pacos Ferreira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritimo 0 17.4% 12.4% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.9% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.3% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaritimoPacos Ferreira
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack75%100%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maritimo Pacos Ferreira
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%80%50%40%0%20%
Draws40%0%20%40%60%50%
Loses40%20%30%20%40%30%

Form: Maritimo: LWWWDWDLLW • Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWLW

League goals

Metric Maritimo Pacos Ferreira
HATHAT
GF total561110313
GF avg1.01.21.12.00.61.3
GA total7186713
GA avg1.40.20.81.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaritimoPacos Ferreira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%60%70%
1.530%20%40%50%
2.50%10%20%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaritimoPacos Ferreira
HATHAT
Clean sheets145123
Failed to score112134

Penalties

MetricMaritimoPacos Ferreira
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMaritimoPacos Ferreira
Wins31
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-1—
Biggest losses1-31-01-23-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricMaritimoPacos Ferreira
Form47%53%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h93%7%
Goals69%31%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Maritimo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away5.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maritimo = 1.03 (league 1.36), Pacos Ferreira = 0.71 (league 1.18)

Pacos Ferreira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritimo 0 17.4% 12.4% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.9% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.3% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 24.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1